Game Theory: Did Dream FAKE His Speedrun? A Final Analysis.

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    There has been a controversy brewing on the Minecraft side of USfilm centered around well known Minecraft creator Dream. He's been accused of faking his speedrun and it has caused a lot of stir. I'm not here to point fingers or accuse anyone. What I'm doing today, Theorists, is going over the facts of this situation and why it is a lot more complicated than people are making it out to be.
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    #Dream #DreamSpeedrun #Speedrun #DreamSMP #Minecraft #MinecraftTheory #MinecraftLore #MinecraftUpdate #MatPat #Theory #GameTheory
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    Credits:
    Writers: Matthew Patrick and Justin Kuiper
    Editors: Dan "Cybert" Seibert, Alex "Sedge" Sedgwick, Forrest Lee, Tyler Mascola, and Koen Verhagen
    Assistant Editor: AlyssaBeCrazy
    Sound Editor: Yosi Berman

    Published on Month ago

    Comments

    1. Honshu :]

      I think we all forget what kind of channel Matpat has, he is a Theorist. Yes, he is a good theorist but everybody isn’t always right. Maybe he did cheat, maybe he did not. Your all in the comments talking about how he dodged the question but really he’s literally just doing what he normally does. Yet you don’t say this when he makes different themes such as FNAF and other DDLC? Yet nobody from these games have stood up to things such as this? Why say all of this now because it’s a USfilmr and not a game of which you can’t say to somebody’s face? Yes, it is basically click bait but what isn’t? My god people it’s 2021, click bait is everywhere right under your noses! Not even just on youtube and even I think you know that. Go ahead, comment down how wrong I am but you can’t deny that this is suspicious and seems acted. Yeah, he might be right but he isn’t a mind reader, the only person who knows whether they cheated or not is Dream. I wonder why it’s always the USfilmr’s fault and not the game/game developers? 1.16 just came out when this event took place so their is bound to be bugs. But that still doesn’t mean Dream is off the hook and neither is MatPat. But remember, at the end of the day it’s just a theory everybody. :) (Please debate about this in the comments, I wanna see all of opinions on this :D)

    2. Oda Siam

      This channel helped me learn more than my class lol

    3. Zack Pumpkinhead

      8:36 THEY"RE BOTH THE SAME! HA! Sorry so many comments. I'll do less next time

    4. Zack Pumpkinhead

      1:46 Warzone... huh? Have you heard of... 2b2t?

    5. Matthew Hogan

      No

    6. Livie Noelle

      conclusion: the speedrunning team is jealous

      1. Hayden Y

        Lol

    7. kat h

      Pls he would be such a cool and good teacher

      1. Hayden Y

        Yea

    8. Glad Bros Entertainment

      7 times

    9. Dr. Rocker

      Matpat is such a wuss the only reason he won’t say he is cheating is because he is scared to lose his kid subscribers but don’t you see Matpat your subscribers have now grown up dot. Be afraid to say he cheated

    10. Rainbow Pummmkins

      Mat pls tell me pls!

    11. James7

      I can smell the dream stan dislike this video.

    12. RaisinTree

      hope you all have a nice week, wanted to let you know that Jesus loves you and died for you. you might think of this as annoying and you’ve seen it a lot, but it’s more than that. those who share this are happy with Christ and believe in eternal life and happiness. they want you to be a part of that too, and so do i. you can have your own opinion and i respect it and you can ignore this and that’s fine. stay safe. i believe in you. in whatever you want to do. God has not left you, and never will. again, Jesus Christ loves you so much. He is willing to heal you and anyone else no matter what they’ve done. He has died for us and proved that He is the Christ, Savior, and Protector. God heals us, even though we are wicked. think about that. may we not be ashamed to share His word, for He was not ashamed of us.

      1. Brandon Morehouse

        I would like to say the youtube comments are not the beat place for this kind of a statement

    13. Dragon Fire

      Ppl are knocking matpat for not really answering, but he did give a more complex view of both arguments, and I don’t think that’s nothing.

    14. a channel

      my view I don't think he cheated he clearly got a higher drop rate then normal but odds are just odds. The drop rate for endermen dropping ender pearls is around 50% of course that doesn't mean you're going to consistently drop 5 ender pearls for every 10 endermen its possible to kill 1000 endermen and them drop no enderpearl just its very very unlikely I dont know the probability percentage i imagine its extremely low but still not impossible.

    15. bestofyosuke

      When he started talking about the luck of the item drops, I just thought "so no one here has played a gacha game then" because the luck I've seen some people have by accident is ridiculous, versus some people who whale on them and don't get nearly as lucky (hence the whaling)

    16. JamFoxxy

      Mans pulled a Ranboo and didn't choose sides

    17. FreesmartBros2007

      2:21 relatable ;-;

    18. AncientAmber YT

      Ah yes, clickbait

      1. Brandon Morehouse

        Well yes but actually no

    19. K'Sean Richardson

      I thought condoms when u said latex, but i noticed the quadratic formula short after 😂. What am i?

    20. DONT wamt

      So everyone's hating matpat here because he doesnt know something? Makes sense

    21. Out by the Water in Cape May

      So... He did? Because any Dream stans that disagree better bend over.

    22. •peachs bunzs ôwø•

      help me with me math pls

    23. ENO

      İmagine dream commenting

    24. Ariel Flores

      I think 100 times

    25. Zain Huda

      The real problem is that profesional mathmeticians and scientists can spend hours of time just to debunk a minecraft speedrun... Do they really not have anything better to do with their life??

    26. chrichu

      Some people took this video the wrong way bc there are quite a lot of dislikes

    27. DYLAN SALINAS

      Its funny bc they're talking about high luck but there was a game my dad played and literally got a 0.01% chance weapon 5 time in a row (DFFOO)

    28. Jamie Brophy

      Awsome

    29. raystrashcan

      Sir, I seem to be missing an answer in this video

    30. Juliet Torres

      Coin ten times

    31. lars thememelord

      for anyone who’s angry about lack of an answer it says FINAL ANALYISIS NOT FINAL ANSWER

    32. Vanja Nenadović

      Yeah, you can say that it's 69.2 percent, but if people didn't watch other people's videos, that is 8.8 x 10 to the power of MINUS 12. That is(near) one in a 8800000000000 chance of getting JUST the blaze rods. Including ender pearls, which are (again near) one in 5600000000000 chance, then yeah. And both of them together, are (near) 1 in 2000000000000000000000 chance of getting them.

    33. עדי קרימר

      I don’t trust Dream He’s cheating I hate him!

      1. Brandon Morehouse

        I don’t think you should hate him.

    34. MegaMathew75

      69%

    35. ailey

      I wish matpat was my math teacher

    36. Djd250

      is p hacking hacking wile ur peeing?

    37. W Aliff Naufal W M Syuhaidi

      Ohh well did you know in one of dreams speedrun when he placed the boats in mid air actually there were barriers and there were barriers in the other speedrun when he placed boats in the lava there were barriers because how can he place things in mid air I tried it to and do all his hacks and a failure so he’s fake speedrunning

      1. Brandon Morehouse

        That makes no sense, and i agree with your final statement. Your explanation just doesn’t work

    38. OLLIE JOSHUA ALFORO

      did dream fake it? heres the time 23:29

    39. Anicka Amaefule

      Wait, did dream cheat or not?

    40. Anicka Amaefule

      I guess the 100 thingy option because if you take away the one zero each from sixty and hundred you can see that that's right. Yes I'm THIS bad at explaining I watched the video and I think I were wrong. I didn't really understand sooo. Have a great life

    41. Levi Crosby

      I have no idea what Matpat says every video I watch but that has yet to stop me from watching them

    42. Benny Windipo

      Matpat has really gone downhill.....

    43. Meba

      Man this is hella annoying. Just say he's wrong or shill for him goddamit

    44. The lord

      Anybody else noticed mr.beast😂

    45. Eldudio 14

      You can tell mat came to the conclusion he cheated but didn’t wanna say it cuz of the stans

    46. • Møno •

      The answer is... Nothing hahahaha

    47. Sarcasm

      This is over a bunch of Minecraft pixels, a video game...

      1. Bottom Text

        Yes because things that happen on the internet have no effect on the real world

    48. Matt Sweeney

      Twitch Rivals did competitive minecraft bingo. it was great.

    49. alex manley

      60 out of 100

    50. The Oshawott King

      I dont hate Dream and i do find some of his vids fun to watch, but i did knew that it wasnt a smart decision to fight against the Minecraft speedrun mod team. There have been alot of cheating investigations in the past with other games and the people who expose speedrunners for cheating take their job seriously, they are like detectives trying to figure out a murder investigation or a mystery. Doing things like using Audacity for checking things in the sounds of the recording, recreating speedruns with slow speed, checking every fricking pixel in the screen with Photoshop etc.

    51. Peri Uluirmak

      8:37 i think the first one , the one with flipping a coin ten times and getting heads 7 times 9:00 yaaaay

    52. Jordon Lott

      Why are there so many dislikes

      1. Muhammad Soleh

        and probably because he has no conclusion

      2. Commander_Chop_Stix YT

        Probably all the dream stans

    53. itzmattaf777

      100

    54. GTG Glenn

      0:12 wait mat are you there when mr beast is giving away like 25 ps5's

    55. Epic Ocean

      I think dream doesn’t fake his speedruns i think dream is super lucky

      1. StrikeYT

        @Gameslug and when did I say dream didn't cheat?

      2. StrikeYT

        @Gameslug gosh I didn't expect a slug will be so mean

      3. Muhammad Soleh

        he cheated. No more opinions, only facts

      4. Gameslug

        Both of you idiots dream cheated. The data shows that he did.

      5. StrikeYT

        This vid was uploaded 1 month ago and dream proves That he didn't cheat

    56. Big Sheesh

      I love how people dislike the video without watching it 🤣

    57. Shubham Saini

      Mr beast buy the store again

    58. ohno

      Those of y'all in the comments making fun of the fact how MatPat asked the question, but didn't exactly answer it, please reread the title. "A Final Analysis." Definition of Analysis- (n.) detailed examination of the elements or structure of something. Meaning an explanation or investigation, but not exactly the final answer. So basically you set yourself up by clicking the damn video.

      1. StrikeYT

        Your really smart for a mouse

    59. Mollie Star Forever

      16:50 EXOTIC BUTTERS

      1. _K I L L E R • Q U E E N_

        Eggsodic buhddersz

    60. Yagsterr

      He did. End of story.

      1. Gameslug

        Exactly

    61. Lewys Cousins

      On any other channel I wouldn't point this out, but since its Game Theory and I know we like details around here, the exterior of that Tardis from 2:29 is from the 11/12th Doctor's tenure however the interior is from the 9/10th Doctor's run. Just saying!

    62. s1lvDrag0n

      I couldn’t care less if he cheated or not, no matter how you look at it, Dream is still one the best Minecraft players to exist.

      1. StrikeYT

        And just because He is good at PvP doesn't mean that his the best player in the world dream stan

      2. Bottom Text

        This is about integrity. Also dream is average, notice how he never fights any actual pvpers? I could fight a below average player and look like a PvP god too.

      3. Gameslug

        He is not the best Minecraft player. He is good at 1.16 pvp but not the best. He also has average building and redstone skills. Also he is nowhere near the top of 1.8 pvp

      4. Leonard

        Yes, so good he has to cheat.

      5. StrikeYT

        Technoblade: are you sure about that?

    63. Kason Lair

      100 times and getting 60 heads

    64. Kayla Powers

      I'm pretty sure the answer was 1) You CAN'T have an answer especially given the fact both sides can't have conclusive evidence to prove Dream did or didn't cheat and that the experiment itself wasn't infallible so what MatPat had to work with was skewed one way or another. 2) Generally? Why are we speedrunning Minecraft??? Especially now that nether fortresses have become rarer since the recent nether update and that your ability to be fastest are decided by some factors are now up to luck and not skill. That's what I got from the video anyway.

      1. Bottom Text

        Imagine being so lucky you could have won the lottery multiple times a day for your entire life but you waste all that luck on Minecraft.

    65. Conner McKinnon

      As an Econometrics Major, I can confirm that this video is a great intro into how statistics can be applied to the real world, and I appreciate it being made

      1. Conner McKinnon

        Sampling Bias, Law of Large Iterations, getting closer to the mean as you increase sample size, these are all fundamental truths to statistics, and you must take these things into consideration or you could end up falsely accusing someone. These numbers show that Dream 99.9999999% cheated - there is no 100%.

    66. Xavier Elwood

      is everyone going to ignor mr beast in the intro

    67. n reddick

      i mad

      1. StrikeYT

        Why?

    68. Akaash Raghunath

      11:27 What? W H A T ?

    69. Scxrd Vize

      3 year olds: oh i dont see a red one cause i already pressed it let me press it again Matpat: NOOOOOO

    70. Beetless

      17:51 why no target block :(

    71. Cora at Home

      spoiler: he... F*ck it. ya gotta watch the video.

    72. Kyle K

      I think that the olympics are scripted as I can’t run as fast as them or jump as high as them

      1. Bottom Text

        What are you trying to say?

    73. Tommy Mc

      So was it fake or not

      1. StrikeYT

        @GameslugUmmm Fine Then dream cheated and he just don't want to admit it

      2. Bottom Text

        @StrikeYT What do you mean you "like techo more"? You can obviously tell from that statement alone that you're a child. It's like thinking Xbox is better than PS4 or vice versa, they are 2 different things and only children compare them and fight over which is better.

      3. Gameslug

        @StrikeYT you are 100% a dream stan, you are just too embarrassed to admit it. He did cheat.

      4. StrikeYT

        Dream didn't fake it I'm not a dream Stan like at all I personally like techno But Dream didn't fake the speedrun it's just the mods are just dumb

      5. Wheatley

        Yes it was

    74. jbone

      i learned more from this video than a whole year in ap stats

    75. Sidney Wateski

      16:40 no joke the day this video came out I had a guest lecturer come into my college class-- hes the guy who helped make this site....thats really coincidental

    76. Huynh Hong Nhat

      The aback den spontaneously travel because tortellini sicily wonder minus a friendly dragon. furry furtive, available myanmar

      1. StrikeYT

        Nice Spelling bro

    77. Dan David

      this video is more like my maths class .

    78. Sandeep Banik

      I know MatPat uses a lot of mathematical methods to back up his theories, but what was the intro (0:00 - 0:52)? Yes, you use mathematical methods to prove your theories but why are you demeaning some other profession. It came out very salty on your part. If you're trying to show that you're smarter than a professor then you have to reconsider your position. Professors are smart and that's why they are at universities. Your videos are becoming more and more pompous. I guess that's the difference between your videos and someone like Veritasium. And for claiming so much about reading 20+ page paper you might want to get your notation and numbers right. The probability of 7 heads out of 10 coin flips = 11.72 % and not 17%. The probability of 60 heads out of 100 coin flips = 1.08 % and not 2.82%. Reference - Leon-Garcia, Alberto. "Probability, statistics, and random processes for electrical engineering." (2017). Chapter 2. You might want to run your other numbers again (for the rest of your video).

    79. CROW TB

      if you see mrbeast in the video its so werid please if you want to find him you will see him in the start with all stuff

      1. Bottom Text

        He's a big USfilmr of course he's used as a prop. It's not like Mr.Beast is some tiny USfilmr with a few hundred subscribers

    80. Zaara Ev

      So imitating politicians As one Argentine president once said , "I give a NO positive"

    81. Untitled Creator

      Dream: *sees that people make these videos* Also Dream: *go’s out of his way to prove that they’re wrong*

      1. StrikeYT

        Ummm matpat didn't said it was fake or real

      2. Untitled Creator

        @Wheatley but he di- ok then, whatever. I don’t care.

      3. Wheatley

        He faked it tho

    82. Ridhishree Chowdhury

      Um I thought you did a collab with dream?

      1. StrikeYT

        Ummmm so?

    83. MoreYourPops

      Is no one else paying attention that MatPat made a Juice WRLD joke lmao

    84. Markat

      i was skipping most of the video and now he's talking about smash wtf?

    85. OK KO Portland

      HE DIDNT CHEAT

      1. Gameslug

        HE DID IDIOT

      2. StrikeYT

        Ok dream stan

      3. Chillogamerhat

        HE DID DIE STAN

      4. NightSaniK

        Dream stan

    86. Beetless

      5:07 No one says it like that

    87. August needs to get a life

      All these people hating in the commnets because they only know how to hate Dream and never even watched GameTheory

      1. Bottom Text

        But he did cheat

    88. Ethan Coleman

      Ahh yes edicuetion

    89. Danny Delaney

      The first one

      1. StrikeYT

        @Bottom Text bro I got a new account are you that dumb?

      2. Bottom Text

        @StrikeYT why tf is there a child with a day old account commenting on here

      3. StrikeYT

        Yeah still a month late but still first

    90. XxAnimeBoyxX

      I was hoping Mat to say yes/no then the evidence.... I mean Mat can judge it because we all know it's just a game theory it's not really a true video (I mean ain't this a video all about?)

    91. Cupcake Kitten

      I usually don’t watch your videos anymore cause of the HOLLOW KNIGHT one... but imma watch this

    92. Isak Lidman

      I'm just thinking about Roy Cleveland Sullivan, a park ranger that got struck by lightning 7 times (or acording to him 8 times) when I come across this topic. I'm not the best at this kind of math, but even if you take it in to acount that he worked in conditions where he's much more likely to get struck by lightning than the average person, I seem to remember that acording to statistics there should've never been anyone who would even get close to get struck by lightning as much as him through the history of ever, but yet it happened. And this is without calculating the survivability of getting struck by lightning. So I just can't tell with this kind of issue. But since I like Dream and I don't think that this topic is the most important political debate ever, I've decided to live in bliss and to not hold anything agains anyone since that stresses me out :) I like it when people get along.

      1. Leonard

        A good thing to also take into account was that this occurred over like 30+ years of him working at that park, while Minecraft 1.16 hasn't even been out a full year yet.

    93. SketchBlitz

      I was hoping with the monkeys and typewriters theorem segment, you’d bring up the British scientists to get six zoo monkey and try the experiment out. After 4 weeks the monkeys like typing S, urinated on the typewriters, and one bashed a typewriter into pieces. Look it up

    94. Chi _ laxz

      Maybe they should add fruitberries and Illumina and have them 3 try to finish minecraft first with the same seed

    95. Chi _ laxz

      Hmm dream cheated, i guess I'll go watch techno now.

    96. Chi _ laxz

      I dont know why people is so upset that someone cheat. Well i mean: i think he cheated

    97. Nerd Theory

      when u realize that game theory is smarter than your teacher and or your profesor

    98. Zack Fritz

      My prop are is 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000001%